Bharat Verma, Editor of the Indian Defence Review has predicted that China will launch an attack on India before 2012.
There are multiple reasons for a desperate Beijing to teach India the final lesson, thereby ensuring Chinese supremacy in Asia in this century.
The triggers according to Verma maybe:
- Internal social unrest
- Heavy toll from the current recession on its economy
- Neutralizing of Pakistan (China’s proxy) as an effective threat to India
- US’ attempt to make India a counterweight against China
- And, US’ Af-Pak policy where one thief is being used take care of another.
The Defence ministry’s annual report for 2008-09 tabled in Rajya Sabha recently has indicated that there is increased link up between Pakistan and China via Kashmir – the territory that was won by China in 1962 and given by Pakistan to China as part of the Trans-Karakoram treaty.
Of course, China has NOW stationed 30 military divisions in the Arunachal Pradesh area, of which it claims about 90,000 sq. Km.
The report from Defence Ministry also seemed to echo Bharat Verma’s views:
“China’s stated objectives, in their White Paper, of developing strategic missile and space-based assets and of rapidly enhancing its blue-water navy to conduct operations in distant waters, as well as the systematic upgrading of infrastructure, reconnaissance and surveillance, quick response and operational capabilities in the border areas, will have an effect on the overall military environment in the neighbourhood of India.”
China is known to be behind the Maoists – who overthrew the Government and monarchy there in Nepal.. and now these guys have made inroads into India. They are now attacking the local administration machinery.
Maoists attacked policemen in Rajnandgaon district of Chhattisgarh and 26 policemen, including SP V K Choubey were killed.
The Maoists problem has taken on a serious proportion now.
When Bharat Verma says:
“Is Indian military equipped to face the two-front wars by Beijing and Islamabad? Is the Indian civil administration geared to meet the internal security challenges that the external actors will sponsor simultaneously through their doctrine of unrestricted warfare? “The answers are an unequivocal ‘no’. Pacifist India is not ready by a long shot either on the internal or the external front,”
… he is pointing to the combined strategy of tactics like Maoists attacks AND placement of 30 military divisions on India’s border.
This situation is serious and India needs to work hard and honestly and Dr. Singh CANNOT.. CANNOT afford to do a Nehru!!