The Indian budget every year has always been an eagerly awaited event. For many decades, the best minds in economics, finance, tax, business and industry throng the media house to analyze the provisions shared by the Financial Minister.
Sometimes major events completely disconnected may be data points for the plans of the different powers around the world. The challenge is to discern what purpose they serve? More critically, what are we moving towards?
When the US Ambassador threatened India's "Strategic Autonomy" policy over India's friendship with Russia - much more than meets the eye was at stake. Let us unpack how the Ukraine war has fundamentally changed the US and the world. And why are we here anyway?
Something is in the offing at the border in the air.
The Pakistani air space in Punjab and Sindh are stopped. Only flights over KPK and Balochistan. Which means either they are planning something in that area or they are expecting something to happen there. Look at the map below in this tweet.
IAF Chief: Operations on going. — That’s explains why Pak airspace continues to look like this. All flights over KPK & Balochistan. Nothing over Punjab & Sindh. pic.twitter.com/4yiDs5xFl9
— Yusuf Unjhawala ???????? (@YusufDFI) March 4, 2019
And, this was not the first one. But the second one to be hit.
With the air space emptied out in Punjab, Thar and Sindh, and these attempts to penetrate with a drone in Kutch and Rajasthan, the chances are that they are planning something on that border perhaps.
That would be enlarging the sphere of war to a place other than Kashmir.
And, this can open up the option for Indian Navy to enter the fray very soon.
With continuous blackouts going on in Pakistan and large lines to get fuel for cars etc, the chances are that Pakistan is really running on last straws.
From the Indian side, PM Modi also hinted at more action coming very soon by saying that what happened on Feb 26th was not the final act.
What would it be is something that one has to see.
Pakistan on last straws?
That Pakistan is on the verge of not just losing the war, despite its misinformation blitzkrieg, but also having major domestic issues is obvious to any objective observer. And, if the situation gets more intense – as Pakistan’s drone attempts (two of them) and India’s shooting them down is concerned, alongwith the emptied out air-space, then it would stand to reason that at least in this conventional war we may be looking at something quite serious happening.
Is that why Captain Amrindr Singh is suggesting that a desperate Pakistan can use Nukes?
Yes,it can but the fact is that it hasn’t. For the entire escalation ladder as of yet, it has not been able to do that. So, its bluff has been called out. But Captain Amrinder Singh makes some sense. However, even that Nuke engagement is not a clear cut binary. They cannot unleash 20 nukes on India, as Musharraf suggested, in the first go. For if they go with one or two, India will unleash enough to finish Pakistan.
The idea is to go with a combination of all three – conventional beating up of Pakistan, attack on terror camps and offices, and economic measures (about that we will discuss in the next post).
But make no mistake – something big and significant is around the corner.
The Indian budget every year has always been an eagerly awaited event. For many decades, the best minds in economics, finance, tax, business and industry throng the media house to analyze the provisions shared by the Financial Minister.
When the US Ambassador threatened India's "Strategic Autonomy" policy over India's friendship with Russia - much more than meets the eye was at stake. Let us unpack how the Ukraine war has fundamentally changed the US and the world. And why are we here anyway?
This visit of India left me with many questions. Many observations and inputs from different people and sections. Food for thought that I have tried to contemplate on and make sense of. Sharing all that with you.
When you analyze the last 60 years of the economic miracles of Singapore, South Korea and Malaysia versus the continued impoverished Indian economy, you get very interesting lessons. Can Indians have the wherewithal in them to do in one generation so that the coming generations may rise?
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